Groundhog Day Flurries and Frigid Shadows for Louisville

A Chilly Groundhog Day Prediction

Happy Groundhog Day, Louisville! As the city wakes up this Monday, February 2, 2026, the question on everyone's mind is whether our local prognosticators will see their shadows. Early reports from across the Bluegrass State suggest that many of our furry forecasters are likely to see those shadows amidst the overcast but occasionally breaking clouds, signaling more winter ahead. For Louisvillians, the weather today certainly feels like winter is here to stay, with temperatures remaining well below average and a stubborn chill hanging over the Ohio Valley.

Morning Snow and Commuter Alerts

The morning hours are expected to bring scattered light snow and flurries across the Metro area. While meteorologists are not projecting significant new accumulation, even a light dusting can create slippery spots on the roads, especially on overpasses and untreated neighborhood surfaces. The major Winter Storm Warning that blanketed the state over the weekend officially expired at 7:00 AM today, but the residual effects of the recent deep freeze remain. Morning commuters should allow extra time for travel as the city shakes off the remains of the weekend's heavy system and deals with potential lingering ice.

Afternoon Conditions and Temperature Ranges

By the afternoon, the snow flurries are expected to taper off, leaving Louisville under an overcast and chilly sky. The mercury will struggle to climb, with a projected high of approximately 36 degrees Fahrenheit. While this is a slight improvement from the sub-zero wind chills experienced over the weekend, it remains a day for heavy coats and scarves. Winds will be relatively light, coming out of the southwest at about 8 mph, though even a light breeze will keep the RealFeel temperature in the high 20s. Residents are advised to limit outdoor exposure as the extreme cold can still be dangerous for those unprepared.

Evening Forecast and a Look Toward Tuesday

As we head into the evening, skies will remain partly to mostly cloudy with a low temperature dropping to around 27 degrees Fahrenheit. It is important to note that the relative calm of late Monday is merely a brief window between weather systems. A Weather Impact Alert Day has already been issued for Tuesday, February 3, as a new wintry mix of snow, sleet, and rain is expected to move in during the afternoon and evening hours. Residents are encouraged to use the dry hours of late Monday to prepare for a potentially messy Tuesday evening commute.

• Morning: Light snow showers and flurries; potential for slippery roads; temperatures near 28-30°F.
• Afternoon: Overcast and chilly; High of 36°F with southwest winds at 8 mph.
• Evening: Partly to mostly cloudy; Low of 27°F.
• Alerts: Residual icy conditions on side streets; upcoming wintry mix alert for Tuesday evening.